Nick Hodge,
Publisher
Aug. 13, 2024
Gold has held beautifully despite the global margin call.
It has really separated itself from other assets — including other precious metals — over the past few weeks as it shows why it has been sought after for millennia.
It’s now near all-time highs at $2,470 an ounce. It is up 22% in the past six months, and is now handily outpacing the S&P 500, which itself set several dozen record highs before the recent breakdown.
Now that it has closed out a month (July) north of $2,400, I wouldn’t be surprised to see it test $2,500 sooner than later.
Gold stocks, which had just started to get the bullish message, were not immune to recent widespread selling that saw infants tossed out with their bathwater. And that’s creating an opportunity.
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Despite its largest holdings reporting record or notable earnings in recent weeks, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) was still sold down over the past month.
But gold stocks weren’t sold down as hard or as much as the broader market. And they rebounded faster.
That tells me broader money is coming into gold stocks amid this rotation.
Some of the better producers like Newmont (NYSE: NEM) and Agnico Eagle (NYSE: AEM) were hardly sold down at all. A number of them delivered record quarterly performance because the gold price has been so high.
And the better speculations are now attracting a very solid bid. This one right here, for example, is up nearly 20% since last week’s selloff.
Whatever disconnect still exists between gold stocks and the investor interest they are attracting relative to the gold price is about to quickly be erased.
That means additional upside in gold stocks like this until they are more in line with gold’s record performance.
All that is without additional tailwinds. But the winds, they are a blowin’.
The dollar has been quickly weakening. After hitting 106 in July, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has quickly pulled back to 103, its lowest level since March.
A falling dollar is good for gold, and that is certainly the case right now.
And then you have falling rates, with the yield on the 2-year falling below 4% for the first time in 15 months. Gold looks much more attractive when investors are getting lower bond yields.
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Putting it all together, you can expect gold prices to remain elevated in the near-term. Another quarter will come to a close in six weeks, and then another set of record earnings will be reported by gold stocks, pushing them up further.
That is why you need to be looking at gold stocks like this now.
Call it like you see it,
Nick Hodge
Publisher, Daily Profit Cycle